FOREX Trading

FX Correlation Series, EUR/USD and TNX, Top Two Tango

As we mentioned previously, many correlations are associated with exports of goods, however, this correlation we will look at interest rates, specifically the treasuries, and the EUR/USD. This correlation may seem a little less directly connected compared to those discussed in the previous discussions. Previously, we focused on significant components of each of the economies. […]

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FOREX Trading

FX Correlation Series, AUD/JPY and U.S. Equities, The Greed and Fear Trade

Although most correlations are directly tied to imports and exports, the correlation between the AUD/JPY and U.S. equities is one of the strongest, despite the indirect connection. If you have been a student of the financial markets for any significant period of time, you are aware that the financial markets are driven not just by […]

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FOREX Trading

FX Correlation Series, New Zealand Dollar (Kiwi) and Commodities (DBA), Got Milk?

Today we begin a series on correlations. Over the next few weeks, we will be highlighting correlations between different trading instruments and currency pairs. Some of the correlations will be a direct correlation due to economic factors for differing countries, others will be correlations that are secondary but all will be backed by mathematical confirmation. […]

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FOREX Trading

Trump Administration Announces New Tariffs.

U.S. equities sold off and the U.S. dollar slid, driven by the Trump Administration announcing new tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from several countries. As discussed in previous weekend updates, tariffs have an overall negative impact on the U.S. economy and economies of the countries who are impacted by the tariffs. We are watching […]

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FOREX Trading

Non-Eventful FOMC Minutes and Monetary Policy Shifts

In this weekend update, we look at a non-eventful FOMC minutes and monetary policy shifts. This week the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes were released and most people expected the comments to provide further guidance as to the timing of the Fed’s rate hikes this year. The Fed indicated that they are comfortable with […]

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FOREX Trading

U.S. and China Trade Balance to Be Improved with Oil and Soybeans

In this weekend update, we look at the U.S. dollar and trade balance with China, focusing on oil and soybeans. The U.S. dollar hit the highest price in 5 months. We believe the U.S. dollar is gaining for many reasons, including a weak euro, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and now potential progress in trade agreements […]

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FOREX Trading

Equities Recovered and the U.S. Dollar Continues to Gain

U.S. equities recovered from Tuesday’s selloff, erasing the losses and possibly setting up for the next bullish move. Gold prices remained closed at its open showing no change in direction and the U.S. dollar is showing continued, though slowing strength. The EUR/USD sold off today and pushed down to test a support level. Price bounced […]

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FOREX Trading

Comparing Inflation Reports from the U.S. and U.K.

In today’s weekend update, we look at inflation data and focus on comparing inflation reports. This week, the Bank of England left rates unchanged and cut growth projections. This was enough to shock the pound and pushed the pound to a 4 month low against the U.S. dollar and most other currency pairs. Generally speaking, […]

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FOREX Trading

FOMC Rate Decision and Statement Declines in Hawkish Tone

In this weekend update, we look at the Federal Open Market Committee – FOMC rate decision and statement. This week the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left rates unchanged as was expected. The next rate hike is expected in June and this did not change much after the FOMC meeting. The change was in the […]

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FOREX Trading, Uncategorized

Weakness In Economic Data In The U.K.

In this weekend update, we look at the weakness in economic data in the U.K. We, as many investors, have been bullish on the pound as the Bank of England has been very hawkish on raising rates. This past two weeks of economic data have poured cold water on inflation expectations and rate hikes. The […]

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FOREX Trading

A Return to Normalcy and Interest Rates in Forex Trading

In this weekend update, we look at a potential return to normalcy and a focus on interest rates in forex trading. Over the past few years, speculators have moved away from the foreign exchange markets into equities, cryptocurrencies and even bonds and commodities, seeking a return on their investments that they apparently did not believe […]

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FOREX Trading

The U.S. Dollar and the Syrian Conflict

In this weekend update, we look at the Syrian conflict. Friday, the U.S. dollar stalled and stabilized. The dollar index (DXY) was only 0.03% higher. The holding pattern seemed to be driven by uncertainty of further tariffs and whether the U.S. would intervene in Syria. With the military action by the U.S. and joined by […]

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FOREX Trading

Struggling Economic Day and Hawkish Guidance Leaves Confused U.S. Dollar

In this weekend update, we investigate a confused U.S. dollar. This week the U.S. dollar has fallen and rallied in a range of more than 1.5%. This may not sound overly aggressive but it is considerable in the forex market. During the week, the U.S. dollar dipped early in the week when ISM Manufacturing PMI […]

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FOREX Trading

The Pound and Brexit Looking Positive for the U.K.

In this weekend update, we visit the pound and Brexit again. The pound and Brexit are at the forefront of investors’ minds. Expectations of a transition deal on Britain’s departure from the European Union, which was agreed upon earlier this month, and rising probabilities that the Bank of England could soon raise interest rates have […]

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