FOREX Trading

FX Correlation Series, EUR/USD and TNX, Top Two Tango

As we mentioned previously, many correlations are associated with exports of goods, however, this correlation we will look at interest rates, specifically the treasuries, and the EUR/USD. This correlation may seem a little less directly connected compared to those discussed in the previous discussions. Previously, we focused on significant components of each of the economies. […]

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FOREX Trading

FX Correlation Series, AUD/JPY and U.S. Equities, The Greed and Fear Trade

Although most correlations are directly tied to imports and exports, the correlation between the AUD/JPY and U.S. equities is one of the strongest, despite the indirect connection. If you have been a student of the financial markets for any significant period of time, you are aware that the financial markets are driven not just by […]

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FOREX Trading

Equities Recovered Some of Recent Losses, Dollar Pauses Gain

U.S. equities recovered some of Tuesday’s selloff but not enough to push prices back into bullishness. The U.S. dollar paused in its ascent. We are looking for a bullish move to continue in the dollar next week. Gold prices and other commodities pause the fall. If the U.S. dollar continues to rally, commodities should also […]

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FOREX Trading

On the Brink of a Tariff War

In this weekend update, we look at the new tariffs and potential tariff war. In a previous weekend update, we discussed the concern of tariffs and the fact that tariffs are imposed to boost reduce imports and drive demand for domestic products but they are detrimental to the economy and even the U.S. dollar. Thursday, […]

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Industrial Production and the U.S. Dollar

In this weekend update, we look at industrial production and the U.S. dollar. Economic strength and weakness is led by industrial and manufacturing production. Generally speaking, industrial production and manufacturing is the earliest in an indication of rising demand from consumers. If consumers are confident and buying, manufacturers produce products to meet that demand. Manufacturers […]

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FOREX Trading

Equities Bull Run Continues Despite Tariff and Other Concerns

In this weekend update, we look at the equities bull run and the U.S. dollar. U.S. equities climbed again this week, gaining more than 3% in most major indexes as well as the NASDAQ reaching record highs. The fascinating aspect of the bullish move in equities is that we are seeing the move amidst multiple […]

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FOREX Trading

U.S. Dollar Rallies while Equities Gapped Up and Ended the Day Flat.

U.S. equities gapped up slightly but closed the day relatively flat. The U.S. dollar strengthened and gold, copper and other commodity prices continued to slide. Bond prices remain weak and will likely continue to struggle. The EUR/USD reversed at resistance and fell in our favor. We were hoping to sell a second contract higher but […]

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FOREX Trading

Trade War and the Impact on the U.S. dollar

In this weekend update, we look at the paradoxical impact of a trade war on the U.S. dollar. This past week, President Trump dropped a protectionist bombshell, indicating that he would be implementing more tariffs to defend U.S. mining and manufacturing. He indicated that tariffs of 10% on aluminum and 25% on steel would be […]

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Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank Minutes Put Pressure on the EUR/USD

n this week’s weekend update, we discuss the stark contrast between the Federal Reserve minutes and the European Central Bank minutes. This week the Federal Open Market Committee minutes indicated that the U.S economy was strong and they saw a brightening global economic picture. The effects of recently passed tax cuts raised the prospect for […]

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FOREX Trading

Housing Data an Indicator for the Next Equity Market Move

In this weekend update, we look at housing data and interest rates. This past week building permits and housing starts reported. Building permits report is the annualized number of new residential building permits issued during the previous month. Housing starts report is the annualized number of new residential buildings that began construction during the previous […]

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FOREX Trading

U.S. and China Equities and the U.S. Dollar Inverse Move

In this weekend update, we look at the pullback in equities and the FXI in 2015 and the U.S. dollar inverse move. We have discussed the connections between commodities and economic growth and discussed the fact we are continually becoming more and more a global economy rather than interconnected independent economies. When the U.S. does […]

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FOREX Trading

Non-farm Payroll Shows Highest Employed Population in Years

In this weekend update, as we do most months, we look at non-farm payroll data. Nonfarm payroll is one of the most critical economic components both in market response as well as long-term economic strength. There was a lot of discussion around the most recent nonfarm payroll. The unemployment rate was touted as the lowest […]

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Recovery of the British Pound to Pre-Brexit Levels

In this weekend update, we look at the recovery of the British pound. From immediately after the Brexit vote, the pound fell more than 2,000 pips (over 15%) in approximately 3 months. The pound tumbled on fear of the unknown, the uncertainty of economic stability, the unclear future of trade agreements, and the impact to […]

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U.S. Dollar Bounced After Trump Said He Wants a Strong Dollar

The U.S. dollar bounced slightly today after President Trump stated he wanted a strong dollar, contradicting Steven Mnuchin’s comments from the previous day. Equities traded relatively flat except for the Dow Jones which advanced to record highs again. Volatility has rallied for the 3rd day in a row despite strong equities. The EUR/USD rallied to […]

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